You worked so hard in Tennessee to point out the anomalies in voting behaviour which looked suspicious and should be investigated. And yet Aftyn Behn's silence has been deafening. Not only that, the entire Democratic Party has also looked the other way. Again!
My question is: if they're not interested now, then why would they behave differently in the midterms? And why would the Republicans need to change their tactics? When they got away with their "shenanigans" last November, it wasn't just because of their brilliant scheme; it was also down to Democratic apathy. And that gave the Republicans the green light to try again. And true to form, in the Tennessee Special Election the Democrats did the only thing they know how: waved a white flag, shrugged their shoulders and walked away in defeat.
It doesn't take a genius to predict how both sides will behave in the midterms.
From what I've gleaned, this has been taking place in some form or another for a long time, although the current algorithm-changing software method is superior to anything they've tried before. And soon the Republicans will ring-fence all elections so tightly, that even if the Democratic Party grew a spine (and that's a big if), there won't be a legal avenue in which to contest future fraudulent results.
Why are we still rooting for a Party that's let us down so badly time and time again? Well, that's an easy one to answer: because in a two-party system, disappointing and lily-livered beats corrupt and cruel any day.
Have people been voting for Democrats because they inspire confidence? I don't think they have. They vote for them because the other option is so unpalatable.
We're pretty certain Kamala won by a fairly huge majority, and that may have been the Democrats' last chance to save America's democracy. If that's the case, then they only have themselves to blame if hereon in they never win another election.
Having said all that, I'm still a glass half-full person. Yes, their spineless antics have pissed me off no end, and I'd like to shake some sense into the lot of them. But I have to believe that deep inside the Party there's a reckoning going on... younger members will kick the old guard into touch and hope will spring eternal.
Going forward all elections should require hand ballot count. Don’t leave it be to Musk to manipulate. Where is the DNC to step in and pay for a recount?
Recounts cost $$$$ ad costs are borne by the person/candidate requesting recount. The article would be enhanced by sharing that point, and by stating the approximate cost (n votes x per vote charge).
Also, what dates are these county or state deadlines? If the window is narrow, she needs an organization or benefactor with ready cash willing to invest.
We need a national change on these voting machines. If every state votes by mail, as eight and DC do, that makes an automatic paper trail. There is no need for an expectation of instantaneous results. A week is soon enough.
The sharp turnout threshold at 38% where Behn drops from 50%+ to 27% is really striking. That kind of discontinuity is exacty what you'd expect from algorithmic intervention rather than organic voting patterns. The fact that mail-in shows no correlation while Election Day and early voting both exibit the pattern suggests different counting mechanisms were in play, which aligns with how these systems are typically segmented.
Email sent to Aftyn's team. Already did the same when This Will Hold reported the same abnormalities. Challenges need to be made to these elections or Dems will not win in the mid terms. While the Dems are disappointing us in so many ways, I would still rather see them with a majority so we can turn some of this shit around and get rid of the assholes currently in charge.
I think it would be a great idea, now that Jack Smith has delivered the truth about the 2020 election, to get him to take a look at the information collected by Smart Elections and Election Truth Alliance and investigate further to see if he can determine whether Trump, Elon Musk, Putin and the GOP collaborated, or even worked independently, to steal the 2024 election. He is a respected, high profile lawyer with experience in investigating election fraud.
And he’s not afraid to speak truth to power, or even to illegitimate power.
Yes, but even if he wanted to do it, he would have to be officially asked by the Democratic Party. In other words, the ball is in their court to bring the subject up first. Only when they speak up and acknowledge elections have been seriously compromised can things progress to the next stage. But they haven't done so and don't appear to have any intention of doing so.
The ball is firmly in their court to get things started. If and when they do I can imagine progress will be made at lightning speed. Or at least at a speed which will produce positive effects.
I’m thinking that if someone as respected and high profile as Jack Smith validates ETA & Smart Elections concerns about 2024 by speaking up, the Democrats will have no choice but to allow a more thorough investigation. Meanwhile Democratic voters should insist on seeing the results of their party’s own “investigation” and an explanation of why those investigators have been hesitant to release it.
What do you say to those who say the turnout just means at a certain %, those voters didn't vote for her? It doesn'tean anything, which is the question I get the most. They don't understand it, and I explained it that there isn't a timestamp on voter turnout. How do you best explain it?
It would be helpful if you define your words for those not deep into this, and keep defining them for those joining late.
To wit: “early voting”: does that mean all votes cast by any method other than showing up in person on voting day? Or does it mean “showing up early in the day on voting day”?
“Turnout”: do you mean total turnout in the county, or total final turnout in each precinct, such that the larger a precinct was, the more it appeared to skew Republican, while small precincts remained Democratic? You apparently do not mean “as the day progressed, more and more Republicans showed up later in the day.” But that word “turnout” could be taken that way, so take care that you explain it so no one assumes that. If the latter were true, it could simply mean Democrats went to vote earlier.
There is clearly a reason that votes for candidate will increase as turnout increases if the district is normally +22 for Republicans.
A +25 District would imply a district that is three-fourths Republican, meaning 3 out of every 4 votes who showed up were Republicans.
Hemce, the Republican gets more votes as more people turn out.
It isn’t that fucking hard, yet these assholes continue to lie to people.
The correlation they claim is fucking meaningless and you can see that in the data. The data is nowhere near the line they are projecting because the line represents absolutely nothing.
Tell me what the slope of that line represents. I will wait because there isn’t a fucking answer.
These people are stupid or they are just liars trying to steal money from people.
The Demographics in Davidson are just the opposite of what you describe. 80% Democratic. Vote share for Behn should increase as turnout goes up by your logic. The post will be removed for not participating in respectful dialogue
I would leave it here as a demonstration of how desperate the fascist election thieves are. I would, however, contact whichever "university" granted "Christ" his PhD and suggest they review his dissertation.
PS: I googled Dr. "Christ" and the only place he appears online seems to be on Substack where he describes himself as "soon to be unemployed". His only Substack posts relate to Evangelical Christianity (sic) so I for one would be interested in what field his degree is in and from what institution.
This is a precinct-level analysis, not a county-level one. Districts have no meaning whatsoever here. Where do you teach, Oral Roberts University or maybe Trump University?
Thanks for sharing that video Bernie. I watched it and it was an excellent, concise, revealing presentation. Find myself asking when will the American people as a whole find themselves "sick and tired of being sick and tired."
What the fuck is this same bullshi? You know why you correlation is so high? You are just correlating numbers less than 1. Stop selling people this bullshit.
I'm feeling sorry for the people who attend his class. There's nothing like a grumpy, bullying teacher/lecturer to put you off the education system for life.
Leave him here. He appears to be a phony Christian fraud. He is welcome to prove me wrong. I've been involved in the election integrity arena for two+ decades and my degrees and post-graduate training at Vanderbilt, UT-Austin, Stanford and UC-Berkeley cause me to applaud this analysis and the many others that have documented increasing instances of election fraud facilitated by corporate black box voting systems (forced on us by HAVA) at the local, state and national levels since at least 2000.
I am also a former Tennessean and am intimately aware of how the TN GOP/RICO/Fascist Party stole control of our legislature and Secretary of State's office in 2008 and what they have done with their illegitimate power ever since. Here is a link to my 2012 Martin Luther King Day keynote address before 600+ scientists at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory that goes into detail about how the TN fascists stole control of Tennessee's government. I will always be grateful to the TN-NAACP for recommending me to give this address.
How would the nutty professor explain the democratic candidate in a democratic stronghold county -- 80% blue -- piling up the overwhelming preponderance of votes until the 38% ballot count threshold, at which point her vote count dramatically and consistently plunges?
It's part of a pattern tracked not only in Tennessee, but swing states across the nation. It suggests a vote manipulation algorithm is at foul play. I'd say that's worth investigating to verify the vote. That is if state officials, voting machine vendors have nothing to hide -- and assuming they believe in this great experiment in Democracy. Let's get the truth.
The problem is that, in Tennessee certainly and likely in Florida and other GOP-captured states, the state officials who are responsible for elections are the ones supervising the election fraud. Tre Hargett, Tennessee's Secretary of State, is one of the most twisted, devious and dishonest people I have ever met. He is a barely closeted self-hater whose Daddy tried too hard to beat the gay out of him. That has fucked him up for life and all honorable Tennesseans of all political stripes are fucked because of it.
I lived in Tennessee for sixty of my 76 years, attending Vanderbilt as an undergraduate and buying a 150 farm in northern Maury County, bordered by the Natchez Trace Parkway, when I was nineteen for the grand sum of $13,000. That was my home (with a few jaunts elsewhere) until 2020 when, after my voting machine turned all my blue votes to red, I moved to New Mexico. The Land of Enchantment ranks first for election integrity and, as a direct result, we elect almost entirely not Republicans. Tennessee (which ranks last for election integrity) would elect more not Republicans too (if they could find some with backbones not named Aftyn Behn) but they cannot, absent another Battle of Athens.
I described Tennessee's descent from its historical position as the bellwether for protecting, defending and expanding voting rights to its current status as a reich wing cesspool in my 2012 Martin Luther King Day keynote address before 600+ scientists at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, a singular honor accorded me at the recommendation of the TN-NAACP. The link is above.
You worked so hard in Tennessee to point out the anomalies in voting behaviour which looked suspicious and should be investigated. And yet Aftyn Behn's silence has been deafening. Not only that, the entire Democratic Party has also looked the other way. Again!
My question is: if they're not interested now, then why would they behave differently in the midterms? And why would the Republicans need to change their tactics? When they got away with their "shenanigans" last November, it wasn't just because of their brilliant scheme; it was also down to Democratic apathy. And that gave the Republicans the green light to try again. And true to form, in the Tennessee Special Election the Democrats did the only thing they know how: waved a white flag, shrugged their shoulders and walked away in defeat.
It doesn't take a genius to predict how both sides will behave in the midterms.
From what I've gleaned, this has been taking place in some form or another for a long time, although the current algorithm-changing software method is superior to anything they've tried before. And soon the Republicans will ring-fence all elections so tightly, that even if the Democratic Party grew a spine (and that's a big if), there won't be a legal avenue in which to contest future fraudulent results.
Why are we still rooting for a Party that's let us down so badly time and time again? Well, that's an easy one to answer: because in a two-party system, disappointing and lily-livered beats corrupt and cruel any day.
Have people been voting for Democrats because they inspire confidence? I don't think they have. They vote for them because the other option is so unpalatable.
We're pretty certain Kamala won by a fairly huge majority, and that may have been the Democrats' last chance to save America's democracy. If that's the case, then they only have themselves to blame if hereon in they never win another election.
Having said all that, I'm still a glass half-full person. Yes, their spineless antics have pissed me off no end, and I'd like to shake some sense into the lot of them. But I have to believe that deep inside the Party there's a reckoning going on... younger members will kick the old guard into touch and hope will spring eternal.
Here's her post on Facebook where she breaks the silence (link in the note)
https://substack.com/@matthewmerrill1/note/c-188449252?r=sd8d0
Really disappointed they didn't feel the need to call for a recount.
Going forward all elections should require hand ballot count. Don’t leave it be to Musk to manipulate. Where is the DNC to step in and pay for a recount?
Recounts cost $$$$ ad costs are borne by the person/candidate requesting recount. The article would be enhanced by sharing that point, and by stating the approximate cost (n votes x per vote charge).
Also, what dates are these county or state deadlines? If the window is narrow, she needs an organization or benefactor with ready cash willing to invest.
We need a national change on these voting machines. If every state votes by mail, as eight and DC do, that makes an automatic paper trail. There is no need for an expectation of instantaneous results. A week is soon enough.
Our elections are not secure
The sharp turnout threshold at 38% where Behn drops from 50%+ to 27% is really striking. That kind of discontinuity is exacty what you'd expect from algorithmic intervention rather than organic voting patterns. The fact that mail-in shows no correlation while Election Day and early voting both exibit the pattern suggests different counting mechanisms were in play, which aligns with how these systems are typically segmented.
Email sent to Aftyn's team. Already did the same when This Will Hold reported the same abnormalities. Challenges need to be made to these elections or Dems will not win in the mid terms. While the Dems are disappointing us in so many ways, I would still rather see them with a majority so we can turn some of this shit around and get rid of the assholes currently in charge.
When Jack Smith speaks, America listens.
I think it would be a great idea, now that Jack Smith has delivered the truth about the 2020 election, to get him to take a look at the information collected by Smart Elections and Election Truth Alliance and investigate further to see if he can determine whether Trump, Elon Musk, Putin and the GOP collaborated, or even worked independently, to steal the 2024 election. He is a respected, high profile lawyer with experience in investigating election fraud.
And he’s not afraid to speak truth to power, or even to illegitimate power.
Yes, but even if he wanted to do it, he would have to be officially asked by the Democratic Party. In other words, the ball is in their court to bring the subject up first. Only when they speak up and acknowledge elections have been seriously compromised can things progress to the next stage. But they haven't done so and don't appear to have any intention of doing so.
The ball is firmly in their court to get things started. If and when they do I can imagine progress will be made at lightning speed. Or at least at a speed which will produce positive effects.
I’m thinking that if someone as respected and high profile as Jack Smith validates ETA & Smart Elections concerns about 2024 by speaking up, the Democrats will have no choice but to allow a more thorough investigation. Meanwhile Democratic voters should insist on seeing the results of their party’s own “investigation” and an explanation of why those investigators have been hesitant to release it.
What do you say to those who say the turnout just means at a certain %, those voters didn't vote for her? It doesn'tean anything, which is the question I get the most. They don't understand it, and I explained it that there isn't a timestamp on voter turnout. How do you best explain it?
It would be helpful if you define your words for those not deep into this, and keep defining them for those joining late.
To wit: “early voting”: does that mean all votes cast by any method other than showing up in person on voting day? Or does it mean “showing up early in the day on voting day”?
“Turnout”: do you mean total turnout in the county, or total final turnout in each precinct, such that the larger a precinct was, the more it appeared to skew Republican, while small precincts remained Democratic? You apparently do not mean “as the day progressed, more and more Republicans showed up later in the day.” But that word “turnout” could be taken that way, so take care that you explain it so no one assumes that. If the latter were true, it could simply mean Democrats went to vote earlier.
There is clearly a reason that votes for candidate will increase as turnout increases if the district is normally +22 for Republicans.
A +25 District would imply a district that is three-fourths Republican, meaning 3 out of every 4 votes who showed up were Republicans.
Hemce, the Republican gets more votes as more people turn out.
It isn’t that fucking hard, yet these assholes continue to lie to people.
The correlation they claim is fucking meaningless and you can see that in the data. The data is nowhere near the line they are projecting because the line represents absolutely nothing.
Tell me what the slope of that line represents. I will wait because there isn’t a fucking answer.
These people are stupid or they are just liars trying to steal money from people.
If you did this in my class, you would fail.
The Demographics in Davidson are just the opposite of what you describe. 80% Democratic. Vote share for Behn should increase as turnout goes up by your logic. The post will be removed for not participating in respectful dialogue
I would leave it here as a demonstration of how desperate the fascist election thieves are. I would, however, contact whichever "university" granted "Christ" his PhD and suggest they review his dissertation.
PS: I googled Dr. "Christ" and the only place he appears online seems to be on Substack where he describes himself as "soon to be unemployed". His only Substack posts relate to Evangelical Christianity (sic) so I for one would be interested in what field his degree is in and from what institution.
My main criticism of the man was his bad language. Tbh, it wasn't very Christ-like.
Ah, then you will have no issue at all with a recount so that we can put aside any doubts in Tennessee's electoral process.
I hope Ms. Behn questions the results. If for no other reason than to establish the truth.
This is a precinct-level analysis, not a county-level one. Districts have no meaning whatsoever here. Where do you teach, Oral Roberts University or maybe Trump University?
Elon Musk is behind the buttons
In the looming elections, Dems will win some few minor, mostly insignificant posts. Republicants will take all or most of the powerful positions.
Not b/c of the votes (those are play-acting now), but b/c of the compromised updated software.
Thanks for sharing that video Bernie. I watched it and it was an excellent, concise, revealing presentation. Find myself asking when will the American people as a whole find themselves "sick and tired of being sick and tired."
What the fuck is this same bullshi? You know why you correlation is so high? You are just correlating numbers less than 1. Stop selling people this bullshit.
The post will be removed for not participating in respectful dialogue
I'm feeling sorry for the people who attend his class. There's nothing like a grumpy, bullying teacher/lecturer to put you off the education system for life.
He was also on This Will Hold post saying the same crap!
Leave him here. He appears to be a phony Christian fraud. He is welcome to prove me wrong. I've been involved in the election integrity arena for two+ decades and my degrees and post-graduate training at Vanderbilt, UT-Austin, Stanford and UC-Berkeley cause me to applaud this analysis and the many others that have documented increasing instances of election fraud facilitated by corporate black box voting systems (forced on us by HAVA) at the local, state and national levels since at least 2000.
I am also a former Tennessean and am intimately aware of how the TN GOP/RICO/Fascist Party stole control of our legislature and Secretary of State's office in 2008 and what they have done with their illegitimate power ever since. Here is a link to my 2012 Martin Luther King Day keynote address before 600+ scientists at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory that goes into detail about how the TN fascists stole control of Tennessee's government. I will always be grateful to the TN-NAACP for recommending me to give this address.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X-e0F96bTA
How would the nutty professor explain the democratic candidate in a democratic stronghold county -- 80% blue -- piling up the overwhelming preponderance of votes until the 38% ballot count threshold, at which point her vote count dramatically and consistently plunges?
It's part of a pattern tracked not only in Tennessee, but swing states across the nation. It suggests a vote manipulation algorithm is at foul play. I'd say that's worth investigating to verify the vote. That is if state officials, voting machine vendors have nothing to hide -- and assuming they believe in this great experiment in Democracy. Let's get the truth.
The problem is that, in Tennessee certainly and likely in Florida and other GOP-captured states, the state officials who are responsible for elections are the ones supervising the election fraud. Tre Hargett, Tennessee's Secretary of State, is one of the most twisted, devious and dishonest people I have ever met. He is a barely closeted self-hater whose Daddy tried too hard to beat the gay out of him. That has fucked him up for life and all honorable Tennesseans of all political stripes are fucked because of it.
Are you from down yonder?
Don't know what you're asking so I'll refrain from answering until you clarify your question.
Sounded like you may be a Tennessee resident. Just curious
I lived in Tennessee for sixty of my 76 years, attending Vanderbilt as an undergraduate and buying a 150 farm in northern Maury County, bordered by the Natchez Trace Parkway, when I was nineteen for the grand sum of $13,000. That was my home (with a few jaunts elsewhere) until 2020 when, after my voting machine turned all my blue votes to red, I moved to New Mexico. The Land of Enchantment ranks first for election integrity and, as a direct result, we elect almost entirely not Republicans. Tennessee (which ranks last for election integrity) would elect more not Republicans too (if they could find some with backbones not named Aftyn Behn) but they cannot, absent another Battle of Athens.
I described Tennessee's descent from its historical position as the bellwether for protecting, defending and expanding voting rights to its current status as a reich wing cesspool in my 2012 Martin Luther King Day keynote address before 600+ scientists at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, a singular honor accorded me at the recommendation of the TN-NAACP. The link is above.
He appears to have a PhD after his name. I think we should bestow upon him another acadamic accolade: PoS.