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Is that really how voters behave?

Jan 14, 2025
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Please watch this now

In EVERY COUNTY in North Carolina, according to the official election results, Vice President Kamala Harris received fewer votes than the Democratic candidate for Attorney General.

North Carolina complete drop-off votes and election results are here.

We covered this in the last Substack. But there’s more now. If you’re not sure what drop-off is, please read our original Substack on the topic, or check out our website.

Much of the data on this Substack is being released for the first time here.

GET INVOLVED

Identical voter behavior in every county is not believable voter behavior.

It seems highly unlikely that Vice President Harris got less votes than the Democratic candidate for Attorney General in every single county in North Carolina, at the same time that President Trump got more votes than the Republican candidate for Attorney General in every single county in North Carolina.

For example, Durham County is one of the most solidly Democratic Counties in the country. It is 80% Democratic. It is absurd to think that Harris got 3,000 votes less than the Democratic Candidate for Attorney General there.

The drop-off votes represent the number of votes that are potentially missing from Harris’ vote totals—if she had received as many votes as the down-ballot candidate. It is also the number of votes that Trump’s totals might be inflated—because his numbers far exceed the down-ballot candidates.

The number of these drop-off votes can be quite large.

For example in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina—a community that has 40% registered Democrats, 40% Independents, and only 20% registered Republicans, Trump got 14,369 more votes than the Republican candidate for Attorney General. Meanwhile, in this predominantly Democratic and Independent community Harris got 22,415 less votes than the Democratic candidate for Attorney General.

  • In a previous post, we demonstrated how the drop-off votes are enough to change the outcome of the election.

  • Note that many conservatives are also wondering about the drop-off phenomena, and why Trump’s victory produced so few coat tails.

More on all of that soon.

State After State Looks Identical

The drop-off data for the 2024 Presidential election looks almost identical to North Carolina in many states.

Same Pattern in Arizona

Arizona data is here.

Same Pattern in Montana

Montana data is here.

Same Pattern in Ohio

Ohio data is here.

SHARE ON BLUE SKY

Same Pattern in North Dakota (Wow)

North Dakota data is here.

Same Pattern in New York

New York data is here.

Same Pattern in Hawaii

Hawaii data is here.

Same Pattern in Connecticut

Connecticut data is here.

Similar Pattern in Wisconsin

Wisconsin data is here.

Props & Info

We first saw our drop-off data displayed this way by the Election Truth Alliance. They credit a Reddit user called Piano Turtle, who credits a Reddit user called sooogood with the concept. Thanks to them all. Once we saw the presentation, our talented and dedicated data team created these bar charts for multiple states.

Our graphs are built with preliminary election data, but we have checked the certified data and the differences between that and our preliminary data are minor. We are in the process of updating all of our preliminary data with certified election results now.

If you want to display our data please credit is as follows and include the link.

Graphics & Analysis by the SMART Elections Data Team. All rights reserved. ©2024 SMARTelections.us #SEDATA

That allows people to know the source of the data, have more confidence in it, and gives them the opportunity to connect with us & get involved in improving our elections.

2025 Becomes 1984

Last week, the video that we showed at the beginning of this post was banned on TikTok, although it is a presentation of accurate data. In the same week, Mark Zuckerberg ended fact-checking on Facebook. (Enjoy a few memes here.)

For those who don’t know, there’s a scene at the end of 1984, by George Orwell, where the main character is forced to view four fingers and say that he’s looking at five.

'How many fingers, Winston?'

'Four! Four! What else can I say? Four!'

The needle must have risen again, but he did not look at it. The heavy,
stern face and the four fingers filled his vision. The fingers stood up
before his eyes like pillars, enormous, blurry, and seeming to vibrate,
but unmistakably four.

'How many fingers, Winston?'

'Four! Stop it, stop it! How can you go on? Four! Four!'

'How many fingers, Winston?'

'Five! Five! Five!'

'No, Winston, that is no use. You are lying. You still think there are
four. How many fingers, please?'

'Four! five! Four! Anything you like. Only stop it, stop the pain!'

Abruptly he was sitting up with O'Brien's arm round his shoulders. He had
perhaps lost consciousness for a few seconds. The bonds that had held his
body down were loosened. He felt very cold, he was shaking uncontrollably,
his teeth were chattering, the tears were rolling down his cheeks. For a
moment he clung to O'Brien like a baby, curiously comforted by the heavy
arm round his shoulders. He had the feeling that O'Brien was his protector,
that the pain was something that came from outside, from some other source,
and that it was O'Brien who would save him from it.

'You are a slow learner, Winston,' said O'Brien gently.

I can still see four fingers, even if I’m not supposed to say so out loud.

Stay Tuned

We have a lot more for you including:

  • How the missing and added drop-off votes are enough to change the outcome of the election

  • A code to access voting machines remotely

  • A separate code to smooth out algorithms

  • An aggregated list of all the bomb threats that occurred on or around the election

  • A letter from inside Musk’s election interference operation

  • A guide to how to change election results, posted on the Internet

Please Donate & Subscribe

We are making tremendous progress understanding what happened in the 2024 election, as we lay the groundwork for improved U.S. elections long term. If you find our work valuable, please subscribe and make a donation as well! All donations are tax-deductible.

THANK YOU FOR DONATING!

Think for yourself, or others will think for you without thinking of you.

~ Henry David Thoreau


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Elijah
17h

Thanks so much Lulu and the whole team for everything you're doing. I plan to get in touch again tomorrow and see what else I might do to help.

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Doris
10h

And yet no one in the Democratic party is listening. Stephen Spoonamore, Jennfier Singh and you are screaming election interference to no avail. Even if they finally believe you, once he's in, we'll never get him out!

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